Monday 23 September 2013

China Stationary - buying by company selling by owner.


Following my post of China Stationary Limited on 31 May 2013, the price of CSL have dropped from 0.35 to 0.20 currently (42% drop!).

While this experiment of mine in China share have not panned out too well (my average price is 0.305) I found their latest move to be quiet perplexing.

1) Majority shareholder selling out
The majority shareholder have recently been disposing of its share in a series of transaction. The majority shareholder's latest shareholding today is approximately 30.8%down from 66.9% in January.

2) Buyback
The company have initiated a buyback recently with the purchase of 9M shares at 0.205 last week. I don't know how to analyse this latest move but a buyback at this price is definitely accretive to shareholder - I hope the company will undertake more buyback.

Based on the net cash position of the company, the disposal by majority shareholder defies logic. It suggest that the majority shareholder think the company is less worth than the amount of cash the company claim to have.

The buyback and the disposal is opposite move by what essentially is the same set of players in this game, this exercise contrast with the move by YTLP.

I will retain my small portfolio of CSL - but would not care to add to them. My gut feeling is telling me to cut loss, yet I remain curious about the contrasting move by the management.

YTLP buyback update

Since my last post on YTLP's buyback program back in May, something interesting have just occurred.

On the 28th August 2013, they cancelled a total of 250,000,000 treasury shares, while retaining 9,005,945 shares in treasury.

Based on my last post, they had a total of 137M treasury shares as of 9th May, giving a net buyback of around 122M shares in 4 months period. Using an average share price of around $1.60, this buyback is worth over RM200M.

"On 9/5/2013 - the company have approximately 137,324,245 treasury share outstanding representing approximately 1.86% of the total outstanding share."

Since then, the company have continued with their buyback program. As of today - they have a net cumulative treasury shares of 91,520,545 shares representing a net buyback of 82M in this month alone. This buyback is worth approximately RM135M using an average share price of $1.60.

Cumulatively since March 2013, the company have bought back approximately RM452M worth of its own shares. 

Tan Sri Francis Yeoh have repeatedly mentioned that YTLP is undervalued - this latest move is an affirmation of his view. For long term investor - buying a blue chip company with resilient cash-flow at price close to its 9 years can't really go wrong - in my opinion.

If you have available cash, I suggest you add this to your portfolio.

However, rather than going straight into its shares - consider YTLP-WB, its conversion price is RM1.21 and a long tenure (2018).

YTLP-WB is trading at 0.515, YTLP is trading at 1.77